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AUTONATION, INC. (AN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue of $7.04B (+6.9% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $5.01 (+25% YoY); GAAP EPS of $5.65 benefited from $40M insurance recoveries and $8M acquisition expenses (net after-tax +$0.63/share) . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat ($6.86B est.) and normalized EPS beat ($4.85 est.) for Q3 2025; Q2 and Q1 also beat normalized EPS and revenue estimates (Values retrieved from S&P Global).*
  • Aftersales and CFS delivered records: Aftersales gross profit $597M and margin 48.7% (+100 bps YoY); CFS gross profit $374.8M (+11.7% YoY), with per-unit F&I at $2,775 .
  • New vehicle GPUs compressed (new GPU $2,281, -$523 YoY) on mix (higher BEV/domestic) and OEM incentive moderation; management expects Q4 mix to improve with less BEV and higher premium luxury seasonality .
  • Capital deployment remained aggressive: Q3 repurchased 0.8M shares for $181M (~$217/share) and closed Chicago acquisitions; Board authorized an additional $1B repurchase on Oct. 31, lifting total remaining authorization to ~$1.28B .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record Aftersales and CFS performance drove margin expansion; CEO: “record profit in After-Sales and Customer Financial Services… multiple revenue streams… investment grade balance sheet” .
  • Segment strength: Domestic segment income +30% YoY; Import and Premium Luxury up 3.8–4.0% YoY; total franchised segment income +8.8% YoY .
  • AutoNation Finance scaled >$2B portfolio, improved profitability with non-recourse funding rising to 86% and ABS market access; CFO highlighted improving credit metrics and ROE trajectory .

What Went Wrong

  • New vehicle unit profitability fell to $2,281 (-$523 YoY) on BEV and domestic mix; OEM incentive support moderated, pressuring dealer margins; management called out mid-quarter “self‑inflicted” pressure before September recovery .
  • Used retail GPU declined to $1,489 (-$100 YoY) amid higher acquisition costs; plan to hold elevated used inventory to drive volume implies near-term depreciation drag (~20 bps margin impact) in Q4 .
  • Macro/tariff dynamics created incentive normalization and higher bar in Q4 comps; luxury demand more muted entering October, with expected seasonal uptick in December .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$6.69 $6.97 $7.04
Gross Profit ($USD Billions)$1.22 $1.28 $1.24
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$336.0 $217.6 $372.4
Net Income ($USD Millions)$175.5 $86.4 $215.1
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$4.45 $2.26 $5.65
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$4.68 $5.46 $5.01
SG&A as % of Gross Profit (reported)67.4% 67.0% 68.6%
Operating Income % of Revenue5.0% 3.1% 5.3%

Segment breakdown

SegmentQ1 2025 Revenue ($MM)Q2 2025 Revenue ($MM)Q3 2025 Revenue ($MM)Q1 2025 Segment Income ($MM)Q2 2025 Segment Income ($MM)Q3 2025 Segment Income ($MM)
Domestic$1,717.4 $1,920.5 $1,945.3 $69.0 $92.0 $81.3
Import$2,047.3 $2,148.3 $2,173.1 $126.2 $133.4 $123.7
Premium Luxury$2,576.5 $2,555.8 $2,559.4 $178.7 $180.1 $160.9
Corporate & Other$349.2 $349.8 $359.6 (84.5) (235.2) (42.5)
Total Franchised Dealerships$6,341.2 $6,624.6 $6,677.8 $373.9 $405.5 $365.9

KPIs

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Retail New Units62,387 65,847 66,189
Retail Used Units68,000 69,736 68,896
Revenue/Vehicle – New ($)$52,064 $51,579 $51,604
Revenue/Vehicle – Used ($)$26,354 $26,457 $27,205
GPU/Vehicle – New ($)$2,803 $2,785 $2,281
GPU/Vehicle – Used ($)$1,662 $1,622 $1,489
F&I PVR ($)$2,703 $2,712 $2,775
New Days Supply38 49 47
Used Days Supply36 39 37
Aftersales Gross Profit ($MM)$568 $599 $597
Aftersales Gross Margin (%)48.8% (parts & service GP % of revenue) 49.0% 48.7% (explicit)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent Guidance/CommentaryChange
SG&A as % of Gross ProfitFY 2025Target 66–67%YTD at 67.0% within target; Q3 adjusted ~67.4%Maintained
New vehicle mixQ4 2025N/AExpect less BEV, higher premium luxury mix in holiday seasonNew commentary
AutoNation Finance ABSBy Q1 2026N/APlan second ABS before end of Q1 2026New commentary
Leverage targetOngoing2–3x2.35x at Q3; within targetMaintained
Share repurchasesOngoing~$338M remaining auth. as of 10/21Board added $1B authorization on 10/31; total remaining ~$1.28BRaised

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Tariffs/macroHighlighted tariff uncertainty and industry dynamics; normalization of CDK impacts OEM incentives moderating; decontenting and supply chain actions; tougher Q4 comps Headwinds moderating; cautious on Q4 comps
BEV/Hybrid mixLimited detailBEV sales up >40% YoY; hybrids +25%; BEV inventory cut ~55% to <20 days; margin pressure from BEVs Mix shifting; margins pressured but improving trajectory into Q4
New vehicle GPUsYoY decline in unit profitability (Q1, Q2) Further compression; domestic ICE pressure mid‑quarter; partial recovery by September Down then stabilizing late Q3
CFS strength$349M GP; PVR $2,703 $363M GP; PVR $2,712 $374.8M GP; PVR $2,775; record quarter
AutoNation FinanceReturned to profit; early scaling ABS debut $700M; income $2M; funding improving Portfolio >$2B; delinquency 2.4% with reserve normalization; funding ~86% non-recourse
Supply/inventoryNew days 38; used 36 New 49; used 39 New 47; used 37; industry inventory ~2.6M below pre‑COVID norm
SG&A discipline67.4% 67.0% 68.6% reported; adjusted ~67.4%; CFO reiterates 66–67% target
Premium luxury demandGrowth in Q1/Q2 More muted in October; seasonal uptick expected in December Slightly softer near-term

Management Commentary

  • CEO Mike Manley: “We are pleased to report another quarter of strong performance… record profit in After‑Sales and Customer Financial Services… AutoNation Finance continued to scale, growing the portfolio to more than $2 billion while improving profitability” .
  • CFO Tom Szlosek: “Adjusted SG&A of 67.4% of gross profit for the quarter was in line… CFS and aftersales comprise close to 80% of our gross profit…” .
  • On Q4 mix: “Expect the mix of new unit sales to improve, including less battery electric vehicles and a higher percentage of premium luxury” .
  • On domestic/BEV GPU pressure: “Biggest effect came from our domestic ICE sales… BEV margins were absolutely terrible… corrected as we came out of the quarter” .
  • On AutoNation Finance scaling: “Portfolio now greater than $2 billion… delinquency rates at quarter‑end of 2.4%… expect migration to ~3% range” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Variable GPU compression drivers: mix (domestic/BEV) and OEM incentive moderation; management expects balance improvement and seasonal premium luxury tailwind in Q4 .
  • CFS sustainability: management expects continued performance; higher attachment and service contracts underpin future aftersales; AutoNation Finance dilutes PVR near‑term but improves long‑term returns .
  • Auto credit: portfolio trends (delinquencies/losses) align with expectations; reserving methodology incorporates normalization; no acceleration in repos or first‑payment skips .
  • Used strategy: maintaining elevated inventory to drive volume and turn; acknowledges depreciation drag (~20 bps margin); may rebalance if market dictates .
  • Luxury demand: more muted entering October; expect seasonal uptick in December .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 ActualQ2 2025 ConsensusQ2 ActualQ3 2025 ConsensusQ3 Actual
Revenue ($USD Billions)$6.64$6.69$6.86$6.97$6.86$7.04
Primary EPS (normalized) ($)$4.38$4.68$4.70$5.46$4.85$5.01

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications: Revenue and normalized EPS exceeded consensus in Q1–Q3; Q3 GAAP EPS of $5.65 further exceeded normalized consensus due to insurance recoveries and acquisition effects (adjusted excludes both) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Mix shift pressures new vehicle GPUs, but management expects Q4 improvement with less BEV and more premium luxury; watch December seasonality .
  • Aftersales and CFS are the profit engines (nearly 80% of GP), delivering record results; reinforces resilience amid new-vehicle margin normalization .
  • AutoNation Finance scaling with improving funding and credit metrics is accretive to ROE; planned second ABS by Q1 2026 is a structural tailwind .
  • Shareholder returns intensify: Q3 buybacks plus new $1B authorization post‑quarter provide a supportive capital return backdrop .
  • SG&A discipline remains central; YTD within the 66–67% target range—continued operating leverage depends on sustaining aftersales/CFS momentum .
  • Near-term risks: OEM incentive moderation, tariff-related decontenting, and muted luxury demand entering Q4; watch used inventory strategy’s depreciation impact .
  • Estimate revisions likely bias upward for normalized EPS and revenue following Q3 beats; normalized GAAP/adjusted EPS distinctions matter for modeling (insurance recoveries, acquisition costs) .

Appendices

Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3 2025)

  • Adjusted EPS excludes $40M cybersecurity insurance recoveries and $8M acquisition-related expenses (net after-tax $24.2M or $0.63/share) .

Capital allocation highlights (Q3/YTD)

  • Q3 repurchases: 0.8M shares for $181M ($217/share); YTD through 10/21: 2.8M shares for $523M ($188/share) with ~$338M remaining pre‑Oct. 31 authorization; Oct. 31 authorization added $1B .

Liquidity and leverage

  • Liquidity $1.8B; covenant leverage ratio 2.35x; non‑vehicle debt $3.83B at quarter‑end .