AI
AUTONATION, INC. (AN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Revenue of $7.04B (+6.9% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $5.01 (+25% YoY); GAAP EPS of $5.65 benefited from $40M insurance recoveries and $8M acquisition expenses (net after-tax +$0.63/share) . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat ($6.86B est.) and normalized EPS beat ($4.85 est.) for Q3 2025; Q2 and Q1 also beat normalized EPS and revenue estimates (Values retrieved from S&P Global).*
- Aftersales and CFS delivered records: Aftersales gross profit $597M and margin 48.7% (+100 bps YoY); CFS gross profit $374.8M (+11.7% YoY), with per-unit F&I at $2,775 .
- New vehicle GPUs compressed (new GPU $2,281, -$523 YoY) on mix (higher BEV/domestic) and OEM incentive moderation; management expects Q4 mix to improve with less BEV and higher premium luxury seasonality .
- Capital deployment remained aggressive: Q3 repurchased 0.8M shares for $181M (~$217/share) and closed Chicago acquisitions; Board authorized an additional $1B repurchase on Oct. 31, lifting total remaining authorization to ~$1.28B .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record Aftersales and CFS performance drove margin expansion; CEO: “record profit in After-Sales and Customer Financial Services… multiple revenue streams… investment grade balance sheet” .
- Segment strength: Domestic segment income +30% YoY; Import and Premium Luxury up 3.8–4.0% YoY; total franchised segment income +8.8% YoY .
- AutoNation Finance scaled >$2B portfolio, improved profitability with non-recourse funding rising to 86% and ABS market access; CFO highlighted improving credit metrics and ROE trajectory .
What Went Wrong
- New vehicle unit profitability fell to $2,281 (-$523 YoY) on BEV and domestic mix; OEM incentive support moderated, pressuring dealer margins; management called out mid-quarter “self‑inflicted” pressure before September recovery .
- Used retail GPU declined to $1,489 (-$100 YoY) amid higher acquisition costs; plan to hold elevated used inventory to drive volume implies near-term depreciation drag (~20 bps margin impact) in Q4 .
- Macro/tariff dynamics created incentive normalization and higher bar in Q4 comps; luxury demand more muted entering October, with expected seasonal uptick in December .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown
KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO Mike Manley: “We are pleased to report another quarter of strong performance… record profit in After‑Sales and Customer Financial Services… AutoNation Finance continued to scale, growing the portfolio to more than $2 billion while improving profitability” .
- CFO Tom Szlosek: “Adjusted SG&A of 67.4% of gross profit for the quarter was in line… CFS and aftersales comprise close to 80% of our gross profit…” .
- On Q4 mix: “Expect the mix of new unit sales to improve, including less battery electric vehicles and a higher percentage of premium luxury” .
- On domestic/BEV GPU pressure: “Biggest effect came from our domestic ICE sales… BEV margins were absolutely terrible… corrected as we came out of the quarter” .
- On AutoNation Finance scaling: “Portfolio now greater than $2 billion… delinquency rates at quarter‑end of 2.4%… expect migration to ~3% range” .
Q&A Highlights
- Variable GPU compression drivers: mix (domestic/BEV) and OEM incentive moderation; management expects balance improvement and seasonal premium luxury tailwind in Q4 .
- CFS sustainability: management expects continued performance; higher attachment and service contracts underpin future aftersales; AutoNation Finance dilutes PVR near‑term but improves long‑term returns .
- Auto credit: portfolio trends (delinquencies/losses) align with expectations; reserving methodology incorporates normalization; no acceleration in repos or first‑payment skips .
- Used strategy: maintaining elevated inventory to drive volume and turn; acknowledges depreciation drag (~20 bps margin); may rebalance if market dictates .
- Luxury demand: more muted entering October; expect seasonal uptick in December .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Implications: Revenue and normalized EPS exceeded consensus in Q1–Q3; Q3 GAAP EPS of $5.65 further exceeded normalized consensus due to insurance recoveries and acquisition effects (adjusted excludes both) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift pressures new vehicle GPUs, but management expects Q4 improvement with less BEV and more premium luxury; watch December seasonality .
- Aftersales and CFS are the profit engines (nearly 80% of GP), delivering record results; reinforces resilience amid new-vehicle margin normalization .
- AutoNation Finance scaling with improving funding and credit metrics is accretive to ROE; planned second ABS by Q1 2026 is a structural tailwind .
- Shareholder returns intensify: Q3 buybacks plus new $1B authorization post‑quarter provide a supportive capital return backdrop .
- SG&A discipline remains central; YTD within the 66–67% target range—continued operating leverage depends on sustaining aftersales/CFS momentum .
- Near-term risks: OEM incentive moderation, tariff-related decontenting, and muted luxury demand entering Q4; watch used inventory strategy’s depreciation impact .
- Estimate revisions likely bias upward for normalized EPS and revenue following Q3 beats; normalized GAAP/adjusted EPS distinctions matter for modeling (insurance recoveries, acquisition costs) .
Appendices
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q3 2025)
- Adjusted EPS excludes $40M cybersecurity insurance recoveries and $8M acquisition-related expenses (net after-tax $24.2M or $0.63/share) .
Capital allocation highlights (Q3/YTD)
- Q3 repurchases: 0.8M shares for $181M (
$217/share); YTD through 10/21: 2.8M shares for $523M ($188/share) with ~$338M remaining pre‑Oct. 31 authorization; Oct. 31 authorization added $1B .
Liquidity and leverage
- Liquidity $1.8B; covenant leverage ratio 2.35x; non‑vehicle debt $3.83B at quarter‑end .